Posted by
Robert Whitney on Friday, November 28, 2008 4:10:03 AM
The 2008 Atlantic hurricane season, which ends Sunday, seemed
to strike the United States and Cuba as if on redial, setting at least
five weather records for persistence and repeatedly striking the same
areas.
"It was pretty relentless in a large number of
big strikes," said Georgia Tech atmospheric sciences professor Judith
Curry. "We just didn't have the huge monster where a lot of people lost
their lives, but we had a lot of damage, a lot of
damage."
Data on death and damage are still being
calculated, but the insurance industry recorded at least $10.6 billion
in losses this hurricane season. That includes $8.1 billion in insured
damage from Hurricane Ike, which ranked as the seventh most expensive
catastrophe in the United States history, according to Mike Barry of
the Insurance Information Institute in New
York.
Three records showed the hurricane season's
relentlessness. Six consecutive named storms - Dolly, Edouard, Fay,
Gustav, Hanna and Ike - struck the U.S. mainland, something that had
not been seen in recorded history. It's also the first time a major
hurricane, those with winds of at least 111 mph, formed in five
consecutive months, July through November. And Bertha spun about for 17
days, making it the longest lived storm in July.
Two
records involve storms hitting the same places repeatedly. Rain-heavy
Fay was the only storm to hit the same state - Florida - four times,
leaving heavy flood damage in its wake. A record three major hurricanes
smacked Cuba: Gustav, Ike and Paloma.
Upper air
currents helped storms get bigger and focused them into a few places -
Cuba and the U.S. Gulf Coast - said Gerry Bell, the top hurricane
forecaster at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's
Climate Prediction Center. Five of the six storms that hit the United
States this season struck the Gulf Coast.
And that
repeat-tracking of storms to the same place - and with it increased
likelihood of landfall - is typical of years when the hurricane season
is on overdrive, like this year, Bell said.
This year
wasn't the busiest ever. It merely tied for the fourth most named
storms in history with 16. The 2005 season shattered all records with
28 tropical storms and hurricanes.
The 2008 season
was busy largely because of the natural cycles of high and low storm
activity that last anywhere from 25 to 40
years.
"This one started in 1995. Based on the
historical record, we're right in the middle of an active era," Bell
said.
An average season has 11 named storms, six of
which become hurricanes. This year there were eight hurricanes, of
which five - Bertha, Gustav, Ike, Omar and Paloma - became major
hurricanes.
Three of those - Gustav, Ike and Paloma -
made "extreme" Category 4, where winds have to be at least 131 mph.
"That's a lot," Bell said. "But it's typical of a very active season
such as what we saw."
Curry said this year's large
number of Category 4 storms indicates a "signal" of global warming. But
Bell said the science is not quite clear on that.
At
the National Hurricane Center one thing is clear. Meteorologist and
spokesman Dennis Feltgen said: "We're glad it's over."